DOI: 10.21045/2071-5021-2017-57-5-3
Danilova I.A. 1,2
1 National Research University “Higher School of Economics”, Moscow, Russian Federation
2 Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany
Contacts: Danilova Inna, e-mail:
This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it
Information about author:
Danilova I.A., https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8813-5871
Acknowledgments. The study has been funded by the Russian Academic Excellence Project «5-100».
Conflct of interests. The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Abstract
Significance. During the recent decades, Russia has
experienced significant shifts in mortality. Considering the
heterogeneity of the Russian regions, it is important to analyze how
those shifts were experienced at the regional level and how they
influenced the inter-regional mortality inequality.
Purpose. To evaluate how the inter-regional mortality
inequality in Russia changed during the period 1989-2016; to measure
contribution of different age groups and causes of death into the
inter-regional mortality inequality in Russia and changes in those
contributions over time.
Methods. In the current study, we used gap in life
expectancy between the two groups of regions as the main measure of
inter-regional inequality. The first group included regions with the
highest levels of life expectancy inhabited altogether by 15% of the
total Russian population. The second group included regions with the
lowest levels of life expectancy, which also altogether accounted for
15% of the total Russian population. The contribution of different age
groups and causes of death into the gap in life expectancy between the
two groups was estimated with the stepwise replacement decomposition
technique.
Results. Life expectancy inequality between regions
increased substantially in the 1990s. The recent period of mortality
improvements in Russia did not result in any significant changes in the
inter-regional inequality. In 2016, the difference between the two
15%-groups of regions performing the best and the worst in terms of life
expectancy amounted to 9.6 years in males. Mortality inequality in ages
15-39 contributed 2.6 years to this gap, in ages 40-64 – 4.2 years, and
in ages over 65 – 2.9 years. In females the gap amounted to 5.3 years;
1.2 years, 2.0 years, and 2.0 years contributed by age intervals 15-39,
40-64, and 65 years and over respectively. Among the causes of death,
the major contribution in inequality is attributable to external causes
of death at the young and middle ages and circulatory diseases at the
middle and elderly ages.
Conclusions. Decreased contribution of external causes
of death in the young and middle ages, and circulatory diseases in the
middle age had a positive effect on the inter-regional inequality in
life expectancy after 2005 contributing to its decline. At the same
time, mortality decline in the elderly contributed to divergency in life
expectancy across regions. Those positive changes in the elderly
mortality towards reduction, which are associated with the beginning of
cardiovascular revolution in Russia, did not equally affect the Russian
regions.
Keywords. Regions of Russia; mortality inequality; causes of death.
Refernces:
-
Andreev E.M. O tochnosti rezul'tatov rossijskih perepisej naselenija i
stepeni doverija k raznym istochnikam informacii [On accuracy of Russia
population censuses results and level of confidence in different sources
of information]. Voprosy statistiki 2012; (11): 21-35. (in Russian).
-
Andreev E.M., Kvasha E.A., Har'kova T.L. Prodolzhitel'nost' zhizni v
Rossii: vosstanovitel'nyj rost [Life expectancy in Russia: a recovery
growth]. Demoskope Weekly [Online]. 2014; (621-622). (in Russian). [cited 2017 Aug 16]. Available from: http://demoscope.ru/weekly/2014/0621/tema05.php
-
Andreev E.M., Kvasha E.A., Har'kova T.L., Ramonov A.V. Smertnost' i
prodolzhitel'nost' zhizni [Mortality and life expectancy]. (in Russian).
In: Vishnevskij A.G., Ed. Naselenie Rossii 2012 [Population of Russia
2012]. Moscow: HSE Publishing House; 2014. P. 239-308
-
Bogojavlenskij D. Perepis' 2010: jetnicheskij srez [2010 Census: Ethnic section]. Demoskope Weekly [Online]. 2012; (531-532) (in Russian). [cited 2017 Aug 16]. Available from: http://www.demoscope.ru/weekly/2012/0531/tema02.php
-
Vishnevskij A. Smertnost' v Rossii: nesostojavshajasja vtoraja
jepidemiologicheskaja revoljucija [Mortality in Russia: the second
epidemiologic revolution that never was]. Demograficheskoe obozrenie
2014. 1(4): 5-40. (in Russian).
-
Danilova I. A. Problemy kachestva rossijskoj statistiki prichin smerti v
starcheskom vozraste [Problems of the quality of cause-specific
mortality statistics at old ages]. Uspehi gerontologii 2015; (3):
409-414. (in Russian).
-
Mkrtchjan N.V. Problemy ucheta naselenija otdel'nyh vozrastnyh grupp v
hode perepisi naselenija 2010 g.: prichiny otklonenij poluchennyh dannyh
ot ozhidaemyh [The problems of counting population at certain age
groups during the 2010 Census: the causes of deviations in observed
estimates from the expected ones]. In: Denisenko M.B., Ed.
Demogarficheskie aspekty social'no-jekonomicheskogo razvitija
[Demographic aspects of social-economic development]. Moscow: MAKS
Press; 2012. P.197-214
-
Ob utverzhdenii Koncepcii demograficheskoj politiki Rossijskoj
Federacii na period do 2025 goda: Ukaz Prezidenta Rossijskoj Federacii
ot 9 oktjabrja 2007 goda; ¹1351 (red. ot 01.07.2014; ¹483). [On the
establishement of the Concept of family policy in Russian Federation for
the period until 2025: Decree of the President of Russian Federation
dated 2007 Oct 9] [Online]. (in Russian). [cited 2017 Aug 16]. Available
from: http://www.kremlin.ru/acts/bank/26299
-
The Russian Fertility and Mortality database [Online]. Centre of Demographic Research. Moscow (Russia). [cited 2017 July 28]. Available at: http://demogr.nes.ru/index.php/ru/demogr_indicat/data
-
Andreev E.M., Shkolnikov V.M. An Excel spreadshit for the decomposition
of a difference between two values of an aggregate demographic measure
by stepwise replacement running from young to old ages. MPIDR Technical
Report 2012-002. [Online]. URL: https://www.demogr.mpg.de/en/projects_publications/publications_1904/mpidr_technical_reports/an_excel_spreadsheet_for_the_decomposition_of_a_difference_between_two_values_of_an_aggregate_4591.htm
-
Andreev E.M., Shkolnikov V.M., Begun A.Z. Algorithm for decomposition
of differences between aggregate demographic measures and its
application to life expectancies, healthy life expectancies,
parity-progression ratios and total fertility rates // Demographic Research 2002; 7(14): 499-522.
-
Grigoriev P., Meslé F., Shkolnikov V. M., Andreev E., Fihel A.,
Pechholdova M. et al. The recent mortality decline in Russia: beginning
of the cardiovascular revolution? Population and Development Review 2014; 40(1): 107–129.
-
Human Development Report 2015: Work for Human Development. New York. 2015. [Èíòåðíåò]. URL: http://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/2015_human_development_report.pdf. (Äàòà îáðàùåíèÿ: 15.07.2017)
-
Shkolnikov V.M., Cornia G.A. The population crisis and rising mortality
in transitional Russia. In: Cornia G.A., Paniccia R., editors. The
mortality crisis in transitional economies. New York: Oxford University
Press; 2000, p. 253-279.
-
Shkolnikov V.M., McKee M., Leon D. Changes in life expectancy in Russia in the mid-1990s. Lancet 2001; (357): 917-921.
-
Shkolnikov V.M., Nemtsov, A.V. The anti-alcohol campaign and variations
in Russian Mortality. In: Bobadilla J.L., Costello C.A., Mitchell F.,
editors. Premature Deaths in the New Independent States. Washington:
National Academy Press; 1997. p. 120-155.
-
Shkolnikov, V. M., Andreev, E. M., McKee, M. & Leon, D. A.
Components and possible determinants of the decrease in Russian
mortality in 2004-2010. Demographic Research 2013; 28(32): 917-950.
-
Vallin J. Diseases, Deaths and Life Expectancy. Genus 2005; 61 (3-4): pp.279-296
-
Vallin J., Meslé F. Convergences and Divergences in Mortality. A New Approach to Health Transition. Demographic Research 2004; 2(2):11-44
-
Vassin S.A., Costello C. A. Spatial, age, and cause-of-death patterns
of mortality in Russia, 1988-1989. In: J. L. Bobadilla, C. A. Costello,
F. Mitcell (Ed). Premature Death in the New Independent States.
Washington (DC): National Academies Press (US); 1997. P. 66-119.
Views: 12468
|